CO129-198 - Governor Hennessy Acting Governor Tonnochy - 1882 [3] — Page 66

CO129 Colonial Office Hong Kong Records 理藩院香港檔案 All

64

V 71

Probable error of observation.-On the assumption that the probable error of a single complet observation is the same for every pair of stars, a comparison of the results in the above Table furnishe means for determining its mean value from all the pairs, thus. Let v

be the seven differences for any pair between the several results for latitude from that pair (of which there has been n observations) and the mean result from that pair; and let such differences or residuals b similarly taken out. for all of the pairs which have been observed more than once; and let I be the sum of the squares of all these residuals, N the total number of determinations, M the total numbers pairs observed more than once, and Q (6745) the factor for reduction of mean to probable errors. Then & the probable error of observation, is found by the formula,

V

Q

=455

N-M V

N-M

.... (6)

Table III, below, exhibits the steps of the process for determining V

TO FIND THE PROBABLE ERROR OF OBSERVATION.

TABLE III.

No. of pair

Stars of the pair; Seconds of latitude

B. A. C. Nos.

Means

V

2,9.

of

the

w

0'.58

Here, V =

15,9288, N

42, M

16; whence, by (6), e — This value of the probable error of a single determination not only illustrates the high excellence 0.50) in the method, but also exhibits a very satisfactory agreement with the adopted value (e

United States' Coast Survey Department, where the method has been in use for some 35 years.

Determination of the Final Latitude.--The probable error of observation having been thus cal- culated, the observations can now be combined by weights in the usual way, and the final latitude and its probable error ascertained, as follows, it being assumed that the North Polar Distances in the Nine- Year Catalogue are correct.

n

Let n be the number of determinations of latitude from a pair of stars, the mean resulting latitude om those determinations, we the weight of this meau (=), and wel the product of the weight into the latitude; and let these quantities be taken out for the whole of the pairs observed. Then, if W be the sum of the weights, and X the sum of the values of wl, for all the pairs, the final latitude, L., is found by the formula,

X

W

..(7)

ون

Then, to find the probable error of L.; let v for each pair be the difference between L, and the value of for that pair; the product of t for that pair into the square of the residual e V the

sum of the values of wv for all the pairs observed; M the number of pairs; and e' the probable error of L; then,

#

9.55

0.68

4624

9.54

0.69

.4761

1

745-786

10.49

10.23

0,25

.0625

11.18

0.95

.9025

10.41

The following Table shows the steps of these computations,

0.18

.0824

e-.455

V (M-1) I

.(8).

n

being

1.12

13.59

0.54

.2916

2

872-901

12.26

13.05

0.79

TABLE IV.

.6241

18.31

0.26

.0676

FINAL LATITUDE AND PROBABLE ERROR.

3

602-518

13.97

13.39

0.65

.4225

No. of

No. of obs,

n

wl

4

999-1052

Wys

14.56

14.05

0,50

.2500

pair

===n

1.12

14.20

0.15

.0225

"

10.66

0.28

.0784

5

1087-1138

9.27

1

5

4.46

10.23

45.64

1.68

12.59

10.38

1.11

1.2321

11.22

2

2.68

13.05

34.97

1.14

3.48

0.84

7056

0.89

18.97

12.43

2.06

3,78

6

574-628

12.27

0.70

10.87

11.57

.4900

2.68

14.05

37.65

2.14

12.27

0,70

.4900

5

2.68

10.88

27.82

1.53

6.27

12,56

6

1.79

11.57

20.71

0.34

0.21

0.03

7

.0009

1045-1052

11.82

12.53

77

2.68

12,53

33.58

0.62

1.03

0.71

.5041

13.22

0.69

4761

8

1.79

12.19

21.82

0.28

0.14

9

1.79

13.29

23.79

1.38

3.41

8

11.97

1326-1346

0.22

12.19

.0484

10

0.89

11,70

10.41

0,21

0.04

12.41

0.22

.0484

11

2.68

10.29

27.58

1.62

7.03

9

1391-1408

13.37

0.08

13.29

.0064

12

2.68

9.84

26.37

2.07

11.48

13.22

0.07

13

1.79

13.16

23.56

1.25

2.80

.0049

10

14

1.79

11.16

19.98

0.75

1,01

1408-1487

11.70

15

1.79

12.12

23.48

1.21

2.62

10.57

0.28

16

2.68

13.36

85.80

1.45

5,63

.11

.0784

1726-1778

9.74

10.29

0.55

2025

17

1.79

9.86

17.65

2.05

7.52

10.56

0.27

.0729

18

0.89

11.70

10.41

0.21

0.04

19

1.79

12.49

22.36

0.58

0.60

9.21

0.63

12

.3969

20

0.89

13.47

11.99

1.56

2.17

1837-1876

9.17

9.84

0.67

.4489

21

0.89

10.73

9.55

1.18

1.24

11.14

1.30

1,6900

22

0.89

13.14

11.69

1.23

1.35

13

510- 574

13.75

0.59

23

0.89

9.89

8.80

2.02

3.65

.3481

12.57

13.16

0.59

.3481

24

0.89

13.56

12.07

1.65

2.42

25

0.89

9.25

8.82

2.66

6.30

14

1377-1444

11.12

0.04

.0016

11.20

11.16

26

0.89

13.19

11.74

1.28

1.46

0.04

.0016

27

0.89

11.82

10.52

0.09

0,01

15

1420-1444

18.16

0.03

13.09

13.12

.0009

28

0.89

14.46

12.87

2.55

5.79

0.03

.0009

W 48,22

I

574.06

F= 106.32

18.24

0.12

.0144

16

1602-1687

14.90

13.36

1.54

2.3716

11.93

1.43

2.0449

17

1958-2001

9.83

0.03

9.86

.0009

*Here W Whence, by (7) and (8),

48.22, X= 574".06, 106".32, and M-28.

9.89

0.03

.0009

18

1408-1432

Leg

117.91 0.19

11.70

19

1883-1900

12.72

Therefore,

0.28

.0.529

12.26

12.49

0.23

.0529

21

24

2 7 2 * *

20

1990-2082

13.47

755-786

10.73

LATITUDE OF CENTRE OF OBSERVING PIER

(0.19 19.2 feet).

22° 18′ 11.91 ± 0.19

22

867-872

13.14

23

2133-2163

9.89

2398-2442

13.56

25

2398-2469

9.25

26

2486-2555

13.19

27

2617-2659

11.82

28

2700-2714

14.46

15.9288

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